The Definitive Guide toAI Data Centers
Ask the GuideAboutAccount
Guide › Numbers register › Claim

GPU useful-life sensitivity — 2–3 yr obsolescence bear case vs published 4–6 yr estimate and 5–6 yr book policy (CONTESTED)

2–3 yr bear case vs 4–6 yr estimateforecastcontested

Value kindforecast — Forecasts are time-bound outlooks, not specifications; test decisions across plausible scenarios.
ScopeThe 2–3-year value is a scenario stress, not an observed universal economic life; Goldman Sachs estimates 4–6 years of useful life.
As of2026
SourceCNBC; theCUBE; DeepQuarry; Aravolta
Reviewchecking…review by 2026-10-21 · standard cadence
Recorded changeslast 2026-08-24 · 2 revisions tracked
Claim idfrontier-economic-gpu-life-vs-5-6-yr-book-life

Where the guide uses it

Not quoted in a chapter yet; it is kept in the curated register.

← Full numbers register — every date-stamped figure in the guide, with revision history.