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failure cadence in a 100k-accelerator cluster at full utilization — why checkpoint bandwidth is an acceptance gate

~every 30 minderived

Value kindderived — Derived values are guide calculations; their result is only as fixed as the stated inputs, scope, and method.
ScopeMLCommons MLPerf Storage v2.0 illustrative checkpoint benchmark model for 100,000 accelerators at full utilization, not an observed fleet failure rate. Size a real cluster's checkpoint interval from its own measured interruption distribution.
CaveatIllustrative benchmark workload, not a fleet forecast. Common-mode events, software, repair, job membership, censoring, detection policy, and non-constant hazard are outside this calculation.
As of2025
SourceMLCommons MLPerf Storage v2.0 · Section “Version 2.0 adds checkpointing tasks”: a 100,000-accelerator cluster with 50,000-hour accelerator MTTF will likely experience a failure every half-hour.
Derivation100,000 / 50,000 accelerator-hours = 2 expected accelerator failures per hour under the stated independent constant-rate model
Reviewchecking…review by 2026-11-23 · standard cadence
Recorded changeslast 2026-06-29
Claim idfailure-cadence-in-a-100k-accelerator-cluster

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