The Definitive Guide toAI Data Centers
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Morgan Stanley's July-2025 forecast path for total data-center ABS issuance: ~$8B in 2025 rising to ~$25B by 2028 as the first refinancing wave hits

~$8B (2025) → ~$25B (2028)forecast

Value kindforecast — Forecasts are time-bound outlooks, not specifications; test decisions across plausible scenarios.
ScopeBoth legs are July-2025 forecast, including the 2025 base year; ABS only, excluding CMBS and GPU-backed structures. Preliminary 2025 issuance came in near ~$15B, outrunning the forecast base.
CaveatFrequently mis-attributed to GPU-backed ABS. Morgan Stanley's Jul-2025 gap note describes GPU ABS only as a future opportunity; the $8B→$25B path is total data-center ABS on a 2025 base. Public record is a single SFA summary of a paywalled note.
As of2025-07
SourceMorgan Stanley Research
Reviewchecking…review by 2026-12-01 · fast cadence
Recorded changeslast 2026-09-01 · 4 revisions tracked
Claim iddata-center-abs-issuance-2025-projected-2028

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